What I Talk About When I Talk About Money
No advice. Just the story.
Category: The Logbook
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Is the Fed’s ‘Iced Matcha’ economy the green light investors have been waiting for? Dive into our exclusive analysis of Jerome Powell’s January 2026 FOMC speech. From the ‘Tariff-Adjusted’ 2% inflation thesis to the death of recession fears, discover why the U.S. economy is entering a new era of ‘Goldilocks’ stability and how to position…
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As the 2026 mid-term elections approach, the global economy is shifting from the Federal Reserve’s control to a government-led “management phase.” In this Murakami-inspired deep dive, we explore why the Trump administration is strategically boosting cryptocurrency and real estate through “Shadow Easing.” From the Genius Act’s impact on stablecoins to the $200 billion MBS intervention,…
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Market Alchemy: The Fed’s Invisible Mend & the AI Horizon (2026) Meta Description (155 characters): Is the S&P 500 at 6,960 a dream or a dead end? Explore the Fed’s “Tweezer” liquidity strategy, CES 2026 AI breakthroughs, and the hidden macro risks of January 2026
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Gold is at an all-time high, but the most valuable asset in 2026 might just be a walk in the park. As charts spike and experts debate a looming crash, we look past the panic to find wealth in the ashes of the Eaton Fire—and a quiet lesson from Altadena’s Loma Alta Park. A Murakami-inspired…
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Inflation cools to 2.7%, Nvidia surges 3.5%, and the Bank of Japan hits a 30-year high rate—but is the ‘Soft Landing’ real? We dissect the diverging paths of the market: the ‘messy kitchen’ of Nike’s 10% drop versus the ‘comfortable’ rally in AI stocks. See why investors are ignoring the skeptics today.
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Micron ($MU) rockets 15% as AI memory demand outstrips supply, while November CPI cools to 2.7%, sending Treasury yields tumbling to 4.12%. We break down the ‘Goldilocks’ data that resurrected the Santa Rally and analyze the wild 25% surge in Trump Media ($DJT) on fusion energy news.
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The S&P 500 broke its 50-day moving average as the ‘AI Trade’ faced a reality check. From Oracle’s financing collapse to the Amazon-OpenAI concerns, we break down today’s 1.16% drop. Yet, amidst the fear, Micron (MU) smashed earnings expectations with a 57% revenue jump. Is the bull market broken, or just reloading?
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The market is currently playing the ‘Epilogue’ from La La Land—a perfect Technicolor dream of AI gains masking a colder reality. With fund manager cash levels hitting a dangerous 3.3% and oil crashing below $55, we analyze why the music might be about to stop and what happens when the lights come on.
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Like the boy in Edward Yang’s Yi Yi, the market is trying to see the ‘back of its own head.’ We look past the headline numbers of the December 16th report to find the hidden truth: a 4.6% unemployment rate and a massive ‘efficiency’ purge in government jobs. Discover why this ‘sad but happy’ data…
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What does a $7 hidden fee at Ralph’s have to do with the future of AI investing? Everything. As we approach 2026, the era of the ‘easy transaction’ is ending—both at the checkout counter and on Wall Street. From the ‘Show Me’ phase of tech to the rise of Copper, we explore Goldman Sachs’ 5…
What I Talk About When I Talk About Money 