What I Talk About When I Talk About Money
No advice. Just the story.
Category: The Logbook
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Is the Federal Reserve stimulating the economy or just fixing the plumbing? We break down the ‘Productivity Thesis’—the argument that AI is suppressing inflation while boosting growth—and why the current liquidity cycle demands a ‘Barbell Strategy’ for 2026.
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Can a company be too good? Broadcom just found out the hard way. Discover the link between Isaac Newton’s biggest failure and today’s AI sell-off, and why a single whisper about OpenAI caused a massive market slide.
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Like the aging mobster in The Irishman, Broadcom finds itself a ‘bored king’ in a changing world. We explore the poetic link between life cycles and market cycles, analyzing why AVGO fell 8% despite a beat and why OpenAI just raised prices by 40%.
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Like Chaplin’s Tramp, the stock market is stumbling in shoes that are too big to fill. We explore the ‘AI Bubble’ fears behind Oracle’s 10% crash, Broadcom’s mixed earnings, and why even 28% growth feels like a slip.
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Chaos reigns in the market, but discipline wins the morning. We connect the lessons of Perfect Days to today’s financial storm: Oracle’s 14% crash, the return of ‘AI Bubble’ fears, and the Fed’s quiet move to water the garden.
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The Strategy of the Cunctator We had a late start in the morning. My wife had an early morning video conference—way early, 4:00 AM—and she went back to sleep after the call, the house silent and heavy with that pre-dawn gravity. I was up late last night, fallen into the World Wide Web, digging a…
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Alfred Nobel rewrote his legacy from ‘Merchant of Death’ to peace. Can Jerome Powell rewrite the economic narrative today? Discover the critical link between today’s Fed meeting, soaring bond yields, and the fight for a soft landing.
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Why did Nvidia drop after getting the green light to sell to China? The answer lies in a ‘medieval toll’ and a ghost in the labor data. Discover the trap the market set for itself ahead of tomorrow’s Fed decision.
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The market is a bad time traveler: obsessed with tomorrow’s Fed meeting and haunted by last month’s data. Discover why the ‘holding pattern’ is dangerous and how the Nvidia news is the only signal cutting through the static.
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The market is a broken fresco: bright tech gains on one side, dark consumer losses on the other. Discover why the ‘Detroit Industry’ metaphor perfectly explains today’s trading session and the rising pressure on the Fed.
What I Talk About When I Talk About Money 